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Correlation
of % moves
+46%
In sync
of periods
65%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-04
162
These move in the same direction about 65% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~21% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
65%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+46%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+33% → +57%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
162 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,253
162
Normalized
1,253
162
Prepared
1,253
162
Aligned
162
162
Invalid removed
R²(i)
21%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
161
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+46%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
161 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+46%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+46%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+39%
53 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-2%
51 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-57%
57 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,091
A: 1091 / B: 0
Series A
Progressive Corporation (PGR)
PGR
Stock · 1,253 raw → 1,253 prepared
Series B
Marsh (MRSH)
MRSH
Stock · 162 raw → 162 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
29
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.4599
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0001
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: stock-mrsh_stock-pgr_daily_5y