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Correlation
of % moves
-23%
In sync
of periods
44%
History
daysdays · through 2026-08-03
138
These move in the same direction about 44% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~5% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
44%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-23%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-38% → -6%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
138 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
138
299
Normalized
138
299
Prepared
138
299
Aligned
138
138
Invalid removed
R²(i)
5%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.01
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
137
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-23%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
137 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-23%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-23%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-2%
24 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-6%
36 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-52%
77 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
161
A: 0 / B: 161
Series A
Marsh (MRSH)
MRSH
Stock · 138 raw → 138 prepared
Series B
Nakamoto Inc. Common Stock (NAKA)
NAKA
Stock · 299 raw → 299 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
19
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.7811
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0101
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: stock-mrsh_stock-naka_daily_5y