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Marsh (MRSH) vs USD/VES Exchange Rate
Correlation
of % moves
-4%
In sync
of periods
51%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
85
These move opposite each other about 51% of the time
Their swing sizes barely line up — almost no shared pattern.
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
MRSH moves ~6 days before USD/VES Exchange Rate
Watch MRSH for an early read on USD/VES Exchange Rate.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
51.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-4%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-25% → +17%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
85 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
90
6,606
Normalized
90
6,606
Prepared
90
6,606
Aligned
85
85
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
0.2%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
85
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
+6 days
Correlation at this shift
+20%
+15% stronger than no-shift baseline
USD/VES Exchange Rate shifted 6 days earlier. Reads: "Does Marsh (MRSH) today line up with USD/VES Exchange Rate 6 days from now?"
78 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-4%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+6 days
+20%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-21%
39 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-18%
45 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
6,526
A: 5 / B: 6521
Series A
Marsh (MRSH)
MRSH
Stock · 90 raw → 90 prepared
Series B
USD/VES Exchange Rate
DEXVZUS
FRED · 6,606 raw → 6,606 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0079
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0051
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexvzus_stock-mrsh_daily_5y