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Marsh (MRSH) vs EUR/USD Exchange Rate
Correlation
of % moves
-24%
In sync
of periods
40%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
85
These move in the same direction about 40% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~6% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
40.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-24%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-43% → -3%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
85 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
90
6,864
Normalized
90
6,864
Prepared
90
6,864
Aligned
85
85
Invalid removed
R²(i)
5.8%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
85
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-24%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
84 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-24%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-24%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-17%
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-31%
18 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-60%
51 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
6,784
A: 5 / B: 6779
Series A
Marsh (MRSH)
MRSH
Stock · 90 raw → 90 prepared
Series B
EUR/USD Exchange Rate
DEXUSEU
FRED · 6,864 raw → 6,864 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
11
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0537
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0001
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexuseu_stock-mrsh_daily_5y