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Marsh (MRSH) vs USD/JPY Exchange Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+15%
In sync
of periods
55%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
85
These move in the same direction about 55% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~2% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
USD/JPY Exchange Rate moves ~3 days before MRSH
Watch USD/JPY Exchange Rate for an early read on MRSH.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
54.8%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+15%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-6% → +36%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
85 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
93
13,879
Normalized
93
13,879
Prepared
93
13,879
Aligned
85
85
Invalid removed
R²(i)
2.3%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
85
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
-3 days
Correlation at this shift
-23%
+8% stronger than no-shift baseline
USD/JPY Exchange Rate shifted 3 days later. Reads: "Does Marsh (MRSH) today line up with USD/JPY Exchange Rate 3 days ago?"
81 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+15%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-3 days
-23%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-3%
29 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+10%
17 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-47%
38 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
13,802
A: 8 / B: 13794
Series A
Marsh (MRSH)
MRSH
Stock · 93 raw → 93 prepared
Series B
USD/JPY Exchange Rate
DEXJPUS
FRED · 13,879 raw → 13,879 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0466
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0001
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexjpus_stock-mrsh_daily_5y