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Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock (META) vs Potential GDP
Correlation
of % moves
+94%
In sync
of periods
67%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
19
These move in the same direction about 67% of the time
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount (~89% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
66.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+94%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+85% → +98%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
19 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,140
352
Normalized
1,140
352
Prepared
56
352
Aligned
19
19
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
89.1%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
19
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -8 to 8 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+94%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
18 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+94%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+94%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+40%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-70%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
370
A: 37 / B: 333
Series A
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock (META)
META
Stock · 1,140 raw → 56 prepared
Series B
Potential GDP
GDPPOT
FRED · 352 raw → 352 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0024
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0059
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-gdppot_stock-meta_monthly_5y