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Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock (META) vs Fed Funds Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+93%
In sync
of periods
61%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
55
These move in the same direction about 61% of the time
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount (~87% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
60.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+93%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+88% → +96%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
55 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,140
862
Normalized
1,140
862
Prepared
56
862
Aligned
55
55
Invalid removed
R²(i)
86.6%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
55
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+93%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
54 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+93%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+93%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+66%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+68%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-31%
37 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
808
A: 1 / B: 807
Series A
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock (META)
META
Stock · 1,140 raw → 56 prepared
Series B
Fed Funds Rate
FEDFUNDS
FRED · 862 raw → 862 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.0045
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0010
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-fedfunds_stock-meta_monthly_5y