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Correlation
of % moves
-9%
In sync
of periods
45%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-28
111
These move in the same direction about 45% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~1% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
XLM moves ~6 days before MDLN
Watch XLM for an early read on MDLN.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
45.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-9%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-28% → +9%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
111 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
111
729
Normalized
111
729
Prepared
111
729
Aligned
111
111
Invalid removed
R²(i)
0.9%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
111
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
-6 days
Correlation at this shift
+25%
+16% stronger than no-shift baseline
Stellar (XLM) shifted 6 days later. Reads: "Does Medline Inc. Class A common stock (MDLN) today line up with Stellar (XLM) 6 days ago?"
104 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-9%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-6 days
+25%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-2%
20 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-10%
30 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-55%
60 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
618
A: 0 / B: 618
Series A
Medline Inc. Class A common stock (MDLN)
MDLN
Stock · 111 raw → 111 prepared
Series B
Stellar (XLM)
XLM
Crypto · 729 raw → 729 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
14
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1664
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0005
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: crypto-xlm_stock-mdln_daily_5y