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Medline Inc. Class A common stock (MDLN) vs USD/VES Exchange Rate
Correlation
of % moves
-7%
In sync
of periods
49%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
103
These move opposite each other about 49% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~1% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
USD/VES Exchange Rate moves ~5 days before MDLN
Watch USD/VES Exchange Rate for an early read on MDLN.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
49.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-7%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-26% → +12%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
103 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
108
6,606
Normalized
108
6,606
Prepared
108
6,606
Aligned
103
103
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
0.5%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
103
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
-5 days
Correlation at this shift
+22%
+15% stronger than no-shift baseline
USD/VES Exchange Rate shifted 5 days later. Reads: "Does Medline Inc. Class A common stock (MDLN) today line up with USD/VES Exchange Rate 5 days ago?"
97 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-7%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-5 days
+22%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+2%
45 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-40%
57 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
6,508
A: 5 / B: 6503
Series A
Medline Inc. Class A common stock (MDLN)
MDLN
Stock · 108 raw → 108 prepared
Series B
USD/VES Exchange Rate
DEXVZUS
FRED · 6,606 raw → 6,606 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0155
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0061
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexvzus_stock-mdln_daily_5y