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Litecoin (LTC) vs U-6 Unemployment Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+32%
In sync
of periods
69%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
23
These move in the same direction about 69% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~10% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
U-6 Unemployment Rate moves ~5 months before LTC
Watch U-6 Unemployment Rate for an early read on LTC.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
68.8%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+32%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-13% → +66%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
388
Normalized
729
388
Prepared
25
388
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
10.2%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
23
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -5 to 5 months.
Selected shift
-5 months
Correlation at this shift
+47%
+15% stronger than no-shift baseline
U-6 Unemployment Rate shifted 5 months later. Reads: "Does Litecoin (LTC) today line up with U-6 Unemployment Rate 5 months ago?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+32%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-5 months
+47%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-14%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-39%
10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
367
A: 2 / B: 365
Series A
Litecoin (LTC)
LTC
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
U-6 Unemployment Rate
U6RATE
FRED · 388 raw → 388 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0547
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0012
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: crypto-ltc_fred-u6rate_monthly_5y