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Litecoin (LTC) vs CPI: Used Cars & Trucks
Correlation
of % moves
+52%
In sync
of periods
78%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
24
These move in the same direction about 78% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~27% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
CPI: Used Cars & Trucks moves ~13 months before LTC
Watch CPI: Used Cars & Trucks for an early read on LTC.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
78.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+52%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+14% → +77%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
24 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
880
Normalized
729
880
Prepared
25
880
Aligned
24
24
Invalid removed
R²(i)
27.4%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
24
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -13 to 13 months.
Selected shift
-13 months
Correlation at this shift
-89%
+37% stronger than no-shift baseline
CPI: Used Cars & Trucks shifted 13 months later. Reads: "Does Litecoin (LTC) today line up with CPI: Used Cars & Trucks 13 months ago?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+52%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-13 months
-89%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+20%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-16%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-45%
5 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
857
A: 1 / B: 856
Series A
Litecoin (LTC)
LTC
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
CPI: Used Cars & Trucks
CUSR0000SETA02
FRED · 880 raw → 880 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
6
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0334
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0004
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: crypto-ltc_fred-cusr0000seta02_monthly_5y