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Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT) vs CPI: Used Cars & Trucks
Correlation
of % moves
-27%
In sync
of periods
31%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
59
These move in the same direction about 31% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~7% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
LMT moves ~17 months before CPI: Used Cars & Trucks
Watch LMT for an early read on CPI: Used Cars & Trucks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
31%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-27%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
59 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
881
Normalized
1,254
881
Prepared
61
881
Aligned
59
59
Invalid removed
7%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
58
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+17 months
Correlation at this shift
-46%
+20% stronger than no-shift baseline
CPI: Used Cars & Trucks shifted 17 months earlier. Reads: "Does Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT) today line up with CPI: Used Cars & Trucks 17 months from now?"
41 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-27%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+17 months
-46%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-41%
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-38%
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-56%
40 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
824
A: 2 / B: 822
Series A
Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT)
LMT
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
CPI: Used Cars & Trucks
CUSR0000SETA02
FRED · 881 raw → 881 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
9
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0708
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0009
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-cusr0000seta02_stock-lmt_monthly_5y