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Loews Corporation (L) vs Building Permits
Correlation
of % moves
+34%
In sync
of periods
53%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
59
These move in the same direction about 53% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~12% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
53.4%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+34%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+9% → +55%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
59 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,255
796
Normalized
1,255
796
Prepared
61
796
Aligned
59
59
Invalid removed
R²(i)
11.6%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.01
Statistical confidence
Data points
59
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+34%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
58 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+34%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+34%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+15%
21 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+21%
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-42%
27 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
739
A: 2 / B: 737
Series A
Loews Corporation (L)
L
Stock · 1,255 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Building Permits
PERMIT
FRED · 796 raw → 796 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
9
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.6066
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0100
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-permit_stock-l_monthly_5y