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Correlation
of % moves
-26%
In sync
of periods
48%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
35
These move in the same direction about 48% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~7% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
KVUE moves ~16 months before US CPI
Watch KVUE for an early read on US CPI.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
48.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-26%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-55% → +9%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
35 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
769
951
Normalized
769
951
Prepared
37
951
Aligned
35
35
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
6.7%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
35
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+16 months
Correlation at this shift
-58%
+32% stronger than no-shift baseline
US CPI shifted 16 months earlier. Reads: "Does Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) today line up with US CPI 16 months from now?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-26%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+16 months
-58%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-12%
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+9%
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
918
A: 2 / B: 916
Series A
Kenvue Inc. (KVUE)
KVUE
Stock · 769 raw → 37 prepared
Series B
US CPI
CPIAUCSL
FRED · 951 raw → 951 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0071
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0026
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-cpiaucsl_stock-kvue_monthly_5y