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The Kroger Co. (KR) vs Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
+32%
In sync
of periods
56%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
58
These move in the same direction about 56% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~11% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
KR moves ~1 month before Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Watch KR for an early read on Case-Shiller Home Price Index.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
56%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+32%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
58 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
472
Normalized
1,254
472
Prepared
61
472
Aligned
58
58
Invalid removed
11%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
57
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+1 month
Correlation at this shift
+39%
+6% stronger than no-shift baseline
Case-Shiller Home Price Index shifted 1 month earlier. Reads: "Does The Kroger Co. (KR) today line up with Case-Shiller Home Price Index 1 month from now?"
56 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+32%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+1 month
+39%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+40%
21 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-6%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-77%
25 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
417
A: 3 / B: 414
Series A
The Kroger Co. (KR)
KR
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
CSUSHPINSA
FRED · 472 raw → 472 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0450
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0035
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-csushpinsa_stock-kr_monthly_5y