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The Kroger Co. (KR) vs Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
+31%
In sync
of periods
54%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
58
These move in the same direction about 54% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~10% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
KR moves ~9 months before Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Watch KR for an early read on Case-Shiller Home Price Index.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
54%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+31%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+6% → +53%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
58 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
474
Normalized
1,254
474
Prepared
61
474
Aligned
58
58
Invalid removed
R²(i)
10%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
57
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+9 months
Correlation at this shift
-47%
+16% stronger than no-shift baseline
Case-Shiller Home Price Index shifted 9 months earlier. Reads: "Does The Kroger Co. (KR) today line up with Case-Shiller Home Price Index 9 months from now?"
48 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+31%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+9 months
-47%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+40%
20 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-6%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-72%
26 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
419
A: 3 / B: 416
Series A
The Kroger Co. (KR)
KR
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
CSUSHPINSA
FRED · 474 raw → 474 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0434
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0035
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-csushpinsa_stock-kr_monthly_5y