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The Kroger Co. (KR) vs Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
+35%
In sync
of periods
58%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-02
58
These move in the same direction about 58% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~12% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
KR moves ~2 months before Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Watch KR for an early read on Case-Shiller Home Price Index.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
57.9%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+35%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+9% → +56%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
58 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
470
Normalized
1,254
470
Prepared
61
470
Aligned
58
58
Invalid removed
R²(i)
11.9%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.01
Statistical confidence
Data points
58
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+2 months
Correlation at this shift
+40%
+5% stronger than no-shift baseline
Case-Shiller Home Price Index shifted 2 months earlier. Reads: "Does The Kroger Co. (KR) today line up with Case-Shiller Home Price Index 2 months from now?"
55 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+35%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+2 months
+40%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+33%
22 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-7%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-76%
24 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
415
A: 3 / B: 412
Series A
The Kroger Co. (KR)
KR
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
CSUSHPINSA
FRED · 470 raw → 470 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0514
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0038
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-csushpinsa_stock-kr_monthly_5y