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Correlation
of values
+82%
In sync
of periods
60%
History
monthsmonths · through 2025-10
100
These move in the same direction about 60% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~68% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
59.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+82%
Based on values
95% CI
+75% → +88%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
100 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
304
204
Normalized
304
204
Prepared
304
204
Aligned
100
100
Invalid removed
R²(i)
67.8%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
100
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+82%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
100 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+82%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+82%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+49%
44 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+15%
15 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-26%
40 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
308
A: 204 / B: 104
Series A
Job Openings
JTSJOL
FRED · 304 raw → 304 prepared
Series B
South Korea Home Prices
QKRN628BIS
FRED · 204 raw → 204 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0087
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
61.3928
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-jtsjol_fred-qkrn628bis_monthly_5y