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JNJ vs FUS Core CPIJohnson & Johnson (JNJ) vs US Core CPI
Correlation
of % moves
-18%
In sync
of periods
54%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
58
These move in the same direction about 54% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~3% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
US Core CPI moves ~8 months before JNJ
Watch US Core CPI for an early read on JNJ.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
53.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-18%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-42% → +9%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
58 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
831
Normalized
1,254
831
Prepared
60
831
Aligned
58
58
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
3.3%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
58
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-8 months
Correlation at this shift
-35%
+17% stronger than no-shift baseline
US Core CPI shifted 8 months later. Reads: "Does Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) today line up with US Core CPI 8 months ago?"
43 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-18%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-8 months
-35%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-11%
30 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+9%
26 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
775
A: 2 / B: 773
Series A
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
JNJ
Stock · 1,254 raw → 60 prepared
Series B
US Core CPI
CPILFESL
FRED · 831 raw → 831 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0067
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0034
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-cpilfesl_stock-jnj_monthly_5y