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Correlation
of % moves
+8%
In sync
of periods
58%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-11
291
These move in the same direction about 58% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~1% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
INTC moves ~6 days before USAR
Watch INTC for an early read on USAR.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
58.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+8%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-4% → +19%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
291 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
291
Normalized
1,255
291
Prepared
1,255
291
Aligned
291
291
Invalid removed
R²(i)
0.6%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
291
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
+6 days
Correlation at this shift
-15%
+7% stronger than no-shift baseline
USAR shifted 6 days earlier. Reads: "Does Intel Corp. (INTC) today line up with USAR 6 days from now?"
284 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+8%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+6 days
-15%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+2%
74 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+16%
77 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-41%
98 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
964
A: 964 / B: 0
Series A
INTC
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
USAR
Stock · 291 raw → 291 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1547
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0004
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: stock-intc_stock-usar_daily_5y