These move opposite each other about 66% of the time
Light inverse
Weak relationship — not much actionable signal here beyond directional colour.
Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.
Market cap 5.3T · 42,000 employees
Intel is a leading digital chipmaker focused on designing and manufacturing microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets. Intel pioneered the x86 architecture for microprocessors and led the semiconductor industry down the path of Moore's law for advances in semiconductor manufacturing. Intel remains the market share leader in central processing units in both the PC and server end markets. The company is seeking to reinvigorate its chip manufacturing business, Intel Foundry, while developing leading-edge products in its Intel Products business segment.
What to Watch
Drifting from pattern
Recent correlation (+67%) is running 1.7σ away from the long-run average of -27%.
INTC moves ~6 days before NVDA
Watch INTC for an early read on NVDA.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (+27%) and fall (+24%) — reliable in both directions.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
-6 days
Correlation at this shift
-33%
+6% stronger than no-shift baseline
Intel Corp shifted 6 days later. Reads: "Does Nvidia Corp today line up with Intel Corp 6 days ago?"
1,249 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Intel Corp shifted 6 days later
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
-27%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
-32% → -22%
Likely range
R²
7.4%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
65.8%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,255
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,255 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
1,255
Normalized
1,255
1,255
Prepared
1,255
1,255
Aligned
1,255
1,255
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Market cap 427.2B · 851,001 employees
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+27%
103 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+24%
88 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-45%
58 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Nvidia Corp
NVDA
Market cap 5.3T · 42,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
Intel Corp
INTC
Market cap 427.2B · 851,001 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0519
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
40.6167
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: stock:intc|stock:nvda|5Y