SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
+95%
of values
In sync
60%
of periods
History
1,287
days · through 2026-03-01
These move in the same direction about 60% of the time
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount (~91% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
60.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+95%
Based on values
95% CI
+95% → +96%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,287 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,287
1,359
Normalized
1,287
1,359
Prepared
1,287
1,359
Aligned
1,287
1,287
Invalid removed
Explore
R²(i)
90.9%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,287
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+95%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,287 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+95%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+95%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+12%
126 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+53%
50 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-38%
73 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
72
A: 0 / B: 72
Series A
Industrial Production
INDPRO
FRED · 1,287 raw → 1,287 prepared
Series B
PPI: All Commodities
PPIACO
FRED · 1,359 raw → 1,359 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.9714
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-8.6326
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-indpro_fred-ppiaco_5y
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.