Correlation
of % moves
-39%
In sync
of periods
35%
History
daysdays · through 2026-04-24
1,236
These move opposite each other about 35% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~15% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Swings around
Their relationship swings around — sometimes tight, sometimes loose. Don't trust a single snapshot.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
Approximate (legacy record)In sync(i)
35.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-39%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,236 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
5,092
Normalized
1,255
5,092
Prepared
1,255
5,092
Aligned
1,236
1,236
Invalid removed
R²(i)
15.4%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,236
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-39%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
249 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-39%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-39%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-19%
69 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-14%
50 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-45%
130 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
3,875
A: 19 / B: 3856
Series A
IAU
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
US Dollar Index
DTWEXAFEGS
FRED · 5,092 raw → 5,092 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1063
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0007
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 days ago · ID: fred-dtwexafegs_stock-iau_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.