Correlation
of % moves
-32%
In sync
of periods
38%
History
daysdays · through 2026-04-24
1,236
These move opposite each other about 38% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~10% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
Approximate (legacy record)In sync(i)
38.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-32%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,236 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
13,869
Normalized
1,255
13,869
Prepared
1,255
13,869
Aligned
1,236
1,236
Invalid removed
R²(i)
10.1%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,236
Deep
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-32%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
249 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-32%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-32%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+7%
46 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+11%
31 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-53%
172 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
12,652
A: 19 / B: 12633
Series A
IAU
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
USD/DKK Exchange Rate
DEXDNUS
FRED · 13,869 raw → 13,869 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1363
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0007
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 days ago · ID: fred-dexdnus_stock-iau_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.