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HUT vs FFederal DebtHut 8 Corp. Common Stock (HUT) vs Federal Debt
Correlation
of % moves
+45%
In sync
of periods
47%
History
monthsmonths · through 2025-10
18
These move in the same direction about 47% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~20% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Federal Debt moves ~2 months before HUT
Watch Federal Debt for an early read on HUT.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
47.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+45%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-4% → +76%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
18 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,241
240
Normalized
1,241
240
Prepared
60
240
Aligned
18
18
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
19.9%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
18
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -7 to 7 months.
Selected shift
-2 months
Correlation at this shift
-64%
+19% stronger than no-shift baseline
Federal Debt shifted 2 months later. Reads: "Does Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock (HUT) today line up with Federal Debt 2 months ago?"
15 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+45%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-2 months
-64%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
264
A: 42 / B: 222
Series A
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock (HUT)
HUT
Stock · 1,241 raw → 60 prepared
Series B
Federal Debt
GFDEBTN
FRED · 240 raw → 240 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0097
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0175
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-gfdebtn_stock-hut_monthly_5y