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Humana Inc. (HUM) vs Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef
Correlation
of % moves
+20%
In sync
of periods
55%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
58
These move in the same direction about 55% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~4% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef moves ~14 months before HUM
Watch Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef for an early read on HUM.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
54.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+20%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-6% → +44%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
58 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,255
506
Normalized
1,255
506
Prepared
61
506
Aligned
58
58
Invalid removed
R²(i)
4.1%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
58
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-14 months
Correlation at this shift
+40%
+19% stronger than no-shift baseline
Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef shifted 14 months later. Reads: "Does Humana Inc. (HUM) today line up with Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef 14 months ago?"
37 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+20%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-14 months
+40%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-10%
19 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-4%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-63%
26 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
451
A: 3 / B: 448
Series A
Humana Inc. (HUM)
HUM
Stock · 1,255 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef
APU0000703112
FRED · 506 raw → 506 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0424
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0081
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-apu0000703112_stock-hum_monthly_5y