SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move together about 86% of the time
Very strong positive
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Home Depot is the world's largest home improvement specialty retailer, operating 2,359 warehouse-format stores offering more than 30,000 products in store and 1 million products online in the US, Canada, and Mexico. Its stores offer building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and decor products and provide various services, including home improvement installation services and tool and equipment rentals. The acquisition of Interline Brands in 2015 allowed Home Depot to enter the MRO business, which has been expanded through the tie-up with HD Supply (2020). The 2024 tie-up with SRS will help grow professional demand in roofing, pool, and landscaping projects, whil
Market cap 331B · 472,400 employees
Lowe's is the second-largest home improvement retailer globally, with more than 1,750 stores in the US, after the 2023 divestiture of its Canadian locations. The firm's stores offer products and services for home decorating, maintenance, repair, and remodeling, with maintenance and repair accounting for two-thirds of products sold. Lowe's primarily targets retail do-it-yourself (around 70% of sales) and do-it-for-me customers, but has expanded its professional business clients to 30% from less than 20% in the past seven years (set to expand further with the acquisition of FBM). We estimate Lowe's captures a high-single-digit share of the domestic home improvement market, based on US Census d
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recent correlation (+58%) is 3.7σ from the long-run average of +89% — pair is behaving differently than usual.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (+80%) and fall (+81%) — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
Correlation barely moves across time windows — treat this as a reliable relationship.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+89%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,255 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Lowe's Companies Inc. at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+89%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+88% → +90%
Likely range
R²
79.0%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
85.6%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,255
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,255 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
1,255
Normalized
1,255
1,255
Prepared
1,255
1,255
Aligned
1,255
1,255
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Market cap 135.8B · 276,000 employees
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+80%
121 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+81%
113 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-35%
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Home Depot, Inc.
HD
Market cap 331B · 472,400 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
Lowe's Companies Inc.
LOW
Market cap 135.8B · 276,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
27
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.5668
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
29.8409
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 hours ago · ID: stock-hd_stock-low_5y
LOW
Lowe's Companies Inc.
Strongest positive