Correlation
of % moves
-32%
In sync
of periods
47%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-18
260
These move opposite each other about 47% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~10% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
Approximate (legacy record)In sync(i)
46.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-32%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
260 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
1,254
1,857
Normalized
1,254
1,857
Prepared
261
1,857
Aligned
260
260
Invalid removed
R²(i)
10.0%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points
260
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-32%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
249 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-32%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-32%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+13%
52 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-5%
62 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-60%
135 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,598
A: 1 / B: 1597
Series A
GIS
Stock · 1,254 raw → 261 prepared
Series B
US Gas Price
GASREGW
FRED · 1,857 raw → 1,857 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
18
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.2841
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0006
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-gasregw_stock-gis_5y
Explore
Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.