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Correlation
of % moves
+40%
In sync
of periods
64%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-09
500
These move in the same direction about 64% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~16% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
64%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+40%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
500 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,130
729
Normalized
1,130
729
Prepared
1,130
729
Aligned
500
500
Invalid removed
16%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
499
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+40%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
499 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+40%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+40%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+1%
95 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+40%
81 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-51%
73 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
859
A: 630 / B: 229
Series A
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC)
GBTC
Stock · 1,130 raw → 1,130 prepared
Series B
Monero (XMR)
XMR
Crypto · 729 raw → 729 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
11
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.5896
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0014
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: crypto-xmr_stock-gbtc_daily_5y