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Correlation
of % moves
+21%
In sync
of periods
65%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-28
500
These move in the same direction about 65% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~5% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Swings around
Their relationship swings around — sometimes tight, sometimes loose. Don't trust a single snapshot.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
64.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+21%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+13% → +29%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
500 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,102
729
Normalized
1,102
729
Prepared
1,102
729
Aligned
500
500
Invalid removed
R²(i)
4.5%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
500
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+21%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
499 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+21%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+21%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+25%
102 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+30%
71 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-23%
76 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
831
A: 602 / B: 229
Series A
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC)
GBTC
Stock · 1,102 raw → 1,102 prepared
Series B
TRON (TRX)
TRX
Crypto · 729 raw → 729 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
18
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.2797
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0023
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: crypto-trx_stock-gbtc_daily_5y