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Correlation
of % moves
+56%
In sync
of periods
70%
History
daysdays · through 2026-06-08
642
These move in the same direction about 70% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~31% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
70.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+56%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+50% → +61%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
642 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
645
2,513
Normalized
645
2,513
Prepared
645
2,513
Aligned
642
642
Invalid removed
R²(i)
30.9%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
642
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+56%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
640 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+56%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+56%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+42%
99 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+50%
94 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-74%
54 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,874
A: 3 / B: 1871
Series A
Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock (FISV)
FISV
Stock · 645 raw → 645 prepared
Series B
S&P 500
SP500
FRED · 2,513 raw → 2,513 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3331
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0002
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-sp500_stock-fisv_daily_5y