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Correlation
of % moves
+68%
In sync
of periods
59%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-22
645
These move in the same direction about 59% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~46% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
58.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+68%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+64% → +72%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
645 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
645
1,255
Normalized
645
1,255
Prepared
645
1,255
Aligned
645
645
Invalid removed
R²(i)
46.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
645
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+68%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
644 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+68%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+68%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+5%
81 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+55%
81 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-50%
87 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
610
A: 0 / B: 610
Series A
Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock (FISV)
FISV
Stock · 645 raw → 645 prepared
Series B
Moderna, Inc. Common Stock (MRNA)
MRNA
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
18
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.7482
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0001
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: stock-fisv_stock-mrna_daily_5y