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Fiserv Inc. (FISV) vs USD/CAD Exchange Rate
Correlation
of % moves
-38%
In sync
of periods
45%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
634
These move opposite each other about 45% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~15% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
44.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-38%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-45% → -32%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
634 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
645
13,891
Normalized
645
13,891
Prepared
645
13,891
Aligned
634
634
Invalid removed
R²(i)
14.8%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
634
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-38%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
633 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-38%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-38%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-1%
50 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-9%
55 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-75%
144 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
13,268
A: 11 / B: 13257
Series A
FISV
Stock · 645 raw → 645 prepared
Series B
USD/CAD Exchange Rate
DEXCAUS
FRED · 13,891 raw → 13,891 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
27
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0621
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0001
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexcaus_stock-fisv_daily_5y