Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock (FISV) vs USD/BRL Exchange Rate
Correlation
of % moves
-26%
In sync
of periods
47%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
633
These move opposite each other about 47% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~7% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Swings around
Their relationship swings around — sometimes tight, sometimes loose. Don't trust a single snapshot.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
46.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-26%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-33% → -19%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
633 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
644
7,868
Normalized
644
7,868
Prepared
644
7,868
Aligned
633
633
Invalid removed
R²(i)
6.9%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
633
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-26%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
632 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-26%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-26%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+14%
48 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-23%
60 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-68%
141 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
7,246
A: 11 / B: 7235
Series A
Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock (FISV)
FISV
Stock · 644 raw → 644 prepared
Series B
USD/BRL Exchange Rate
DEXBZUS
FRED · 7,868 raw → 7,868 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
29
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0871
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0002
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexbzus_stock-fisv_daily_5y