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Filecoin (FIL) vs Existing Home Sales
Correlation
of % moves
-50%
In sync
of periods
36%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
13
These move opposite each other about 36% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~25% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
FIL moves ~1 month before Existing Home Sales
Watch FIL for an early read on Existing Home Sales.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
36.4%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-50%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-83% → +10%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
730
13
Normalized
730
13
Prepared
25
13
Aligned
13
13
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
25.1%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
13
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -2 to 2 months.
Selected shift
+1 month
Correlation at this shift
+67%
+17% stronger than no-shift baseline
Existing Home Sales shifted 1 month earlier. Reads: "Does Filecoin (FIL) today line up with Existing Home Sales 1 month from now?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-50%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+1 month
+67%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-66%
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
12
A: 12 / B: 0
Series A
Filecoin (FIL)
FIL
Crypto · 730 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Existing Home Sales
EXHOSLUSM495S
FRED · 13 raw → 13 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0811
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0071
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: crypto-fil_fred-exhoslusm495s_monthly_5y