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Filecoin (FIL) vs Aaa Corporate Bond Yield
Correlation
of % moves
+38%
In sync
of periods
65%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-08
24
These move in the same direction about 65% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~14% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
FIL moves ~9 months before Aaa Corporate Bond Yield
Watch FIL for an early read on Aaa Corporate Bond Yield.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
65%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+38%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-4% → +68%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
24 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
730
1,292
Normalized
730
1,292
Prepared
25
1,292
Aligned
24
24
Invalid removed
R²(i)
14%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
23
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -13 to 13 months.
Selected shift
+9 months
Correlation at this shift
-70%
+32% stronger than no-shift baseline
Aaa Corporate Bond Yield shifted 9 months earlier. Reads: "Does Filecoin (FIL) today line up with Aaa Corporate Bond Yield 9 months from now?"
14 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+38%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+9 months
-70%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-3%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+40%
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-29%
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,269
A: 1 / B: 1268
Series A
Filecoin (FIL)
FIL
Crypto · 730 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Aaa Corporate Bond Yield
AAA
FRED · 1,292 raw → 1,292 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0504
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0136
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: crypto-fil_fred-aaa_monthly_5y