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Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) vs Initial Jobless Claims
Correlation
of % moves
+13%
In sync
of periods
51%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-22
259
These move in the same direction about 51% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~2% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Swings around
Their relationship swings around — sometimes tight, sometimes loose. Don't trust a single snapshot.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
51.5%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+13%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+1% → +25%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
259 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
1,255
3,100
Normalized
1,255
3,100
Prepared
261
3,100
Aligned
259
259
Invalid removed
R²(i)
1.6%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
259
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+13%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
258 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+13%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+13%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+19%
61 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+14%
55 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-42%
124 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
2,843
A: 2 / B: 2841
Series A
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)
EXPD
Stock · 1,255 raw → 261 prepared
Series B
Initial Jobless Claims
ICSA
FRED · 3,100 raw → 3,100 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
37
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.2323
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0027
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-icsa_stock-expd_weekly_5y