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Correlation
of % moves
+31%
In sync
of periods
59%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-04
483
These move in the same direction about 59% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~10% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
59%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+31%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+23% → +39%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
483 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
483
Normalized
1,254
483
Prepared
1,254
483
Aligned
483
483
Invalid removed
R²(i)
10%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
482
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+31%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
482 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+31%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+31%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+19%
84 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+42%
78 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-51%
87 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
771
A: 771 / B: 0
Series A
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL)
TPL
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE)
EXE
Stock · 483 raw → 483 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
20
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1879
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0003
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: stock-exe_stock-tpl_daily_5y