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Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE) vs St. Louis Financial Stress Index
Correlation
of % moves
-24%
In sync
of periods
44%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-26
91
These move in the same direction about 44% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~6% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
44%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-24%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
91 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
442
1,696
Normalized
442
1,696
Prepared
93
1,696
Aligned
91
91
Invalid removed
6%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
90
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-24%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
90 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-24%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-24%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-7%
26 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+36%
14 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-62%
50 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,607
A: 2 / B: 1605
Series A
Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE)
EXE
Stock · 442 raw → 93 prepared
Series B
St. Louis Financial Stress Index
STLFSI4
FRED · 1,696 raw → 1,696 prepared
Sign agreement
2.2%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
16
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.2098
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0198
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-stlfsi4_stock-exe_weekly_5y