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Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE) vs St. Louis Financial Stress Index
Correlation
of % moves
-24%
In sync
of periods
43%
History
weeksweeks · through 2026-22
87
These move in the same direction about 43% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~6% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
43.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-24%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-43% → -3%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
87 paired data points survived the weekly window.
Raw input
424
1,692
Normalized
424
1,692
Prepared
89
1,692
Aligned
87
87
Invalid removed
R²(i)
5.8%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
87
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 weeks.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-24%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
86 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-24%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-24%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0%
25 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+44%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-61%
49 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,607
A: 2 / B: 1605
Series A
Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE)
EXE
Stock · 424 raw → 89 prepared
Series B
St. Louis Financial Stress Index
STLFSI4
FRED · 1,692 raw → 1,692 prepared
Sign agreement
2.3%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
20
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.2460
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0216
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-stlfsi4_stock-exe_weekly_5y