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Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE) vs Texas Capital Texas Oil Index ETF (OILT)
Correlation
of % moves
+45%
In sync
of periods
65%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-23
495
These move in the same direction about 65% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~20% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
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Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
65%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+45%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+37% → +52%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
495 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
495
690
Normalized
495
690
Prepared
495
690
Aligned
495
495
Invalid removed
R²(i)
20%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
494
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+45%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
494 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+45%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+45%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+25%
100 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+52%
80 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-48%
69 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
195
A: 0 / B: 195
Series A
Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE)
EXE
Stock · 495 raw → 495 prepared
Series B
Texas Capital Texas Oil Index ETF (OILT)
OILT
Stock · 690 raw → 690 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
32
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.4604
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0004
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: stock-exe_stock-oilt_daily_5y
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Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.