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Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE) vs USD/LKR Exchange Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+9%
In sync
of periods
49%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
402
These move in the same direction about 49% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~1% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
EXE moves ~4 days before USD/LKR Exchange Rate
Watch EXE for an early read on USD/LKR Exchange Rate.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
49.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+9%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-1% → +18%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
402 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
414
13,025
Normalized
414
13,025
Prepared
414
13,025
Aligned
402
402
Invalid removed
R²(i)
0.8%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
402
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
+4 days
Correlation at this shift
+16%
+7% stronger than no-shift baseline
USD/LKR Exchange Rate shifted 4 days earlier. Reads: "Does Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE) today line up with USD/LKR Exchange Rate 4 days from now?"
397 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+9%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+4 days
+16%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-2%
61 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+3%
50 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-39%
138 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
12,635
A: 12 / B: 12623
Series A
Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE)
EXE
Stock · 414 raw → 414 prepared
Series B
USD/LKR Exchange Rate
DEXSLUS
FRED · 13,025 raw → 13,025 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
26
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0075
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0002
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexslus_stock-exe_daily_5y