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EXE vs FUS Core CPIExpand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE) vs US Core CPI
Correlation
of % moves
-35%
In sync
of periods
65%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
18
These move opposite each other about 65% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~12% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
EXE moves ~4 months before US Core CPI
Watch EXE for an early read on US Core CPI.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
64.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-35%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-71% → +16%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
18 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
411
831
Normalized
411
831
Prepared
20
831
Aligned
18
18
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
12.4%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
18
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -7 to 7 months.
Selected shift
+4 months
Correlation at this shift
-56%
+21% stronger than no-shift baseline
US Core CPI shifted 4 months earlier. Reads: "Does Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE) today line up with US Core CPI 4 months from now?"
13 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-35%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+4 months
-56%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+12%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-81%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
815
A: 2 / B: 813
Series A
Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE)
EXE
Stock · 411 raw → 20 prepared
Series B
US Core CPI
CPILFESL
FRED · 831 raw → 831 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0043
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0025
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-cpilfesl_stock-exe_monthly_5y