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Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE) vs Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef
Correlation
of % moves
-29%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
18
These move in the same direction about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~8% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
EXE moves ~3 months before Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef
Watch EXE for an early read on Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-29%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-69% → +24%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
18 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
424
506
Normalized
424
506
Prepared
21
506
Aligned
18
18
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
8.5%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
18
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -3 to 3 months.
Selected shift
+3 months
Correlation at this shift
-38%
+9% stronger than no-shift baseline
Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef shifted 3 months earlier. Reads: "Does Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE) today line up with Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef 3 months from now?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-29%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+3 months
-38%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+23%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-81%
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
491
A: 3 / B: 488
Series A
Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock (EXE)
EXE
Stock · 424 raw → 21 prepared
Series B
Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef
APU0000703112
FRED · 506 raw → 506 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0645
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0110
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-apu0000703112_stock-exe_monthly_5y