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Exact Sciences Corp. (EXAS) vs Consumer Sentiment
Correlation
of % moves
+33%
In sync
of periods
66%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
58
These move in the same direction about 66% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~11% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
EXAS moves ~1 month before Consumer Sentiment
Watch EXAS for an early read on Consumer Sentiment.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
66.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+33%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+8% → +55%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
58 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,198
672
Normalized
1,198
672
Prepared
58
672
Aligned
58
58
Invalid removed
R²(i)
11.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
58
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+1 month
Correlation at this shift
+41%
+8% stronger than no-shift baseline
Consumer Sentiment shifted 1 month earlier. Reads: "Does Exact Sciences Corp. (EXAS) today line up with Consumer Sentiment 1 month from now?"
56 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+33%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+1 month
+41%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+15%
17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+38%
20 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-50%
20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
614
A: 0 / B: 614
Series A
EXAS
Stock · 1,198 raw → 58 prepared
Series B
Consumer Sentiment
UMCSENT
FRED · 672 raw → 672 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1786
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0077
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-umcsent_stock-exas_monthly_5y