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Ethereum (ETH) vs Sticky Price CPI
Correlation
of % moves
+49%
In sync
of periods
70%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
24
These move in the same direction about 70% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~24% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Sticky Price CPI moves ~11 months before ETH
Watch Sticky Price CPI for an early read on ETH.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
69.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+49%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+9% → +75%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
24 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
730
700
Normalized
730
700
Prepared
25
700
Aligned
24
24
Invalid removed
R²(i)
23.6%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
24
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -13 to 13 months.
Selected shift
-11 months
Correlation at this shift
+73%
+25% stronger than no-shift baseline
Sticky Price CPI shifted 11 months later. Reads: "Does Ethereum (ETH) today line up with Sticky Price CPI 11 months ago?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+49%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-11 months
+73%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-35%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-4%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-47%
7 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
677
A: 1 / B: 676
Series A
Ethereum (ETH)
ETH
Crypto · 730 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Sticky Price CPI
CORESTICKM159SFRBATL
FRED · 700 raw → 700 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0778
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0134
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: crypto-eth_fred-corestickm159sfrbatl_monthly_5y