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Ethereum Classic (ETC) vs Sticky Price CPI
Correlation
of % moves
+39%
In sync
of periods
73%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
23
These move in the same direction about 73% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~15% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
ETC moves ~8 months before Sticky Price CPI
Watch ETC for an early read on Sticky Price CPI.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
73%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+39%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-4% → +70%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
730
703
Normalized
730
703
Prepared
25
703
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
15%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
+8 months
Correlation at this shift
+64%
+25% stronger than no-shift baseline
Sticky Price CPI shifted 8 months earlier. Reads: "Does Ethereum Classic (ETC) today line up with Sticky Price CPI 8 months from now?"
14 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+39%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+8 months
+64%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+19%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-92%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
682
A: 2 / B: 680
Series A
Ethereum Classic (ETC)
ETC
Crypto · 730 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Sticky Price CPI
CORESTICKM159SFRBATL
FRED · 703 raw → 703 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0921
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0135
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: crypto-etc_fred-corestickm159sfrbatl_monthly_5y