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Correlation
of % moves
-44%
In sync
of periods
36%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-09
121
These move in the same direction about 36% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~19% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
36%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-44%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
121 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
121
1,254
Normalized
121
1,254
Prepared
121
1,254
Aligned
121
121
Invalid removed
19%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
120
Usable
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-44%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
120 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-44%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-44%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-19%
27 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-42%
16 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-66%
77 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,133
A: 0 / B: 1133
Series A
Marsh (MRSH)
MRSH
Stock · 121 raw → 121 prepared
Series B
EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME)
EME
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
12
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.5952
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0013
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: stock-eme_stock-mrsh_daily_5y