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Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) vs PCE Price Index
Correlation
of % moves
-25%
In sync
of periods
62%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
59
These move opposite each other about 62% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~6% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
EA moves ~13 months before PCE Price Index
Watch EA for an early read on PCE Price Index.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
62.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-25%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-48% → +1%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
59 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,256
807
Normalized
1,256
807
Prepared
61
807
Aligned
59
59
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
6.1%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
59
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+13 months
Correlation at this shift
-31%
+6% stronger than no-shift baseline
PCE Price Index shifted 13 months earlier. Reads: "Does Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) today line up with PCE Price Index 13 months from now?"
45 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-25%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+13 months
-31%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-28%
35 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+5%
22 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
750
A: 2 / B: 748
Series A
EA
Stock · 1,256 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
PCE Price Index
PCEPI
FRED · 807 raw → 807 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
6
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0098
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0033
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-pcepi_stock-ea_monthly_5y