SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of values
+92%
In sync
of periods
44%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
82
These move in the same direction about 44% of the time
When one swings, the other almost always swings by a closely matched amount (~85% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
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Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
44.4%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+92%
Based on values
95% CI
+88% → +95%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
82 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
352
5,092
Normalized
352
5,092
Prepared
352
244
Aligned
82
82
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
84.7%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
82
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+92%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
82 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+92%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+92%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-12%
36 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-26%
45 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
432
A: 270 / B: 162
Series A
Potential GDP
GDPPOT
FRED · 352 raw → 352 prepared
Series B
US Dollar Index
DTWEXEMEGS
FRED · 5,092 raw → 244 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0059
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-2.8138
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-dtwexemegs_fred-gdppot_5y
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Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.