SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
of values
+84%
In sync
of periods
44%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-01
81
These move in the same direction about 44% of the time
When one swings, the other often swings by a similar amount (~71% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Explore
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
43.8%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+84%
Based on values
95% CI
+76% → +90%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
81 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
317
5,092
Normalized
317
5,092
Prepared
317
244
Aligned
81
81
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
70.9%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
81
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+84%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
81 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+84%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+84%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-13%
35 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-65%
45 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
399
A: 236 / B: 163
Series A
Gross Domestic Product: Implicit Price Deflator
GDPDEF
FRED · 317 raw → 317 prepared
Series B
US Dollar Index
DTWEXBGS
FRED · 5,092 raw → 244 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
9
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.7738
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
27.4447
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: fred-dtwexbgs_fred-gdpdef_5y
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Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.