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DOT vs FJob OpeningsPolkadot (DOT) vs Job Openings
Correlation
of % moves
+30%
In sync
of periods
59%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
23
These move in the same direction about 59% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~9% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
DOT moves ~12 months before Job Openings
Watch DOT for an early read on Job Openings.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
59.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+30%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-13% → +64%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
730
304
Normalized
730
304
Prepared
25
304
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
9.2%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
23
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
+12 months
Correlation at this shift
-37%
+6% stronger than no-shift baseline
Job Openings shifted 12 months earlier. Reads: "Does Polkadot (DOT) today line up with Job Openings 12 months from now?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+30%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+12 months
-37%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-29%
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-59%
9 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
283
A: 2 / B: 281
Series A
Polkadot (DOT)
DOT
Crypto · 730 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Job Openings
JTSJOL
FRED · 304 raw → 304 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0650
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0009
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: crypto-dot_fred-jtsjol_monthly_5y