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Dogecoin (DOGE) vs Interest on Reserve Balances
Correlation
of % moves
+4%
In sync
of periods
67%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-10
730
These move in the same direction about 67% of the time
Their swing sizes barely line up — almost no shared pattern.
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
66.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+4%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-3% → +12%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
730 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
730
1,748
Normalized
730
1,748
Prepared
730
1,748
Aligned
730
730
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
0.2%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
730
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+4%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
729 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+4%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+4%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-1%
245 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,018
A: 0 / B: 1018
Series A
Dogecoin (DOGE)
DOGE
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Series B
Interest on Reserve Balances
IORB
FRED · 1,748 raw → 1,748 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
13
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0056
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0005
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: crypto-doge_fred-iorb_daily_5y